Normal Distribution Calculator
Find P(X<x), P(X>x), and between-range probabilities for any normal distribution with mean μ and SD σ.
Normal curve with shaded region
Compute probabilities under any normal distribution. Find P(X < x), P(X > x), P(a < X < b), or invert: which x value has 95% of the distribution below it? Shaded chart shows exactly what was computed.
What the normal distribution is
The normal (Gaussian) distribution is the bell curve: symmetric around its mean μ, with spread controlled by its standard deviation σ. Its density is f(x) = (1 / σ√(2π)) · exp(−(x−μ)² / 2σ²).
The central limit theorem says sums and averages of many independent random variables tend toward a normal distribution regardless of the underlying shape. That's why the normal models so many real-world phenomena — measurement errors, sample means, sums of small effects.
Any normal can be converted to the standard normal (μ=0, σ=1) via z = (x − μ)/σ. Probabilities and quantiles look up the same table for every problem.
Forward problems: probability from a value
P(X < x) — left tail. The cumulative distribution function Φ((x−μ)/σ). For x = μ this is always 0.5.
P(X > x) — right tail. 1 − Φ((x−μ)/σ).
P(a < X < b) — two-sided band. Φ((b−μ)/σ) − Φ((a−μ)/σ). The 68-95-99.7 rule comes from a = μ−kσ, b = μ+kσ for k = 1, 2, 3.
Inverse problem: value from a probability
Given a target left-tail probability p, find the x such that P(X ≤ x) = p. Formally x = μ + σ · Φ⁻¹(p).
Used to set control limits (manufacturing), grade cutoffs (education), and stop-loss thresholds (finance). Example: the 99th percentile of daily portfolio losses is the value-at-risk (VaR) figure.
Common critical values: Φ⁻¹(0.95) ≈ 1.645, Φ⁻¹(0.975) ≈ 1.960, Φ⁻¹(0.99) ≈ 2.326, Φ⁻¹(0.995) ≈ 2.576.
Worked example
Daily orders at a coffee shop are roughly normal with μ = 320 and σ = 40.
P(X > 400) = 1 − Φ((400−320)/40) = 1 − Φ(2.0) ≈ 1 − 0.9772 = 0.0228 → about 2.3% of days top 400 orders.
What's the 95th-percentile daily volume the staff should plan for? x = 320 + 40 · 1.645 ≈ 386 orders.
When the normal model breaks
Skewed distributions (income, file sizes) — normal underestimates the right tail. Try a log-normal or report median + IQR instead.
Bounded variables (proportions in [0,1], counts ≥ 0) can be approximately normal only when far from the bounds.
Heavy-tailed phenomena (stock returns, network packet sizes) have more extreme events than a normal predicts. Student-t or stable distributions are common alternatives.
z-scores in standardized testing, medicine, and manufacturing
In education, IQ scores are defined as z-scores scaled to μ = 100 and σ = 15. An IQ of 130 is z = 2.0 — roughly the 98th percentile. SAT and GRE scores use similar scaling, allowing comparison across different test versions.
In medicine, pediatric growth charts plot height and weight as z-scores against age-matched norms. A child at z = −2.0 for height is below the 2.3rd percentile and may trigger referral for endocrine evaluation.
In manufacturing, Six Sigma defines process capability as the number of standard deviations between the process mean and the nearest specification limit. A '3-sigma' process has 2,700 defects per million; '6-sigma' aims for 3.4 defects per million by shrinking variation.
Frequently asked questions
Why is the normal distribution so common?
The central limit theorem: averages and sums of many independent random variables converge to a normal, even when the underlying distribution isn't normal.
What's the difference between PDF and CDF?
The PDF f(x) is the height of the curve at x — not a probability for continuous distributions. The CDF F(x) = P(X ≤ x) is the area under the PDF up to x.
Does this work for the standard normal?
Yes — set μ = 0 and σ = 1, then the value you enter is treated as a z-score.
How precise are these probabilities?
Better than 1e-7 in the CDF (Abramowitz & Stegun 7.1.26) and 1e-9 in the inverse (Beasley-Springer-Moro). Plenty for any human-scale decision.
What if my data isn't normal?
Check with a histogram or QQ plot first. If it's skewed, use a transformation (log, Box-Cox) or a non-parametric method like the empirical CDF.
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